The Penrose method is a method, devised in 1946 by Professor Lionel Penrose, for allocating seats or votes in legislatures based on the square root of the population of the representative's district or state. This choice is motivated by the Penrose square root law, which states that in any voting body the voting power of each member measured by the Penrose-Banzhaf index is inversly proportional to square root of the number of voters. This implies that if in a two-tier voting system the voting power of each representative scales like square root of the population he represents, the voting power of a single citizen in each member state is equal. The voting system of Penrose has been proposed as a method for apportioning representation in a United Nations Parliamentary Assembly, and for voting in the Council of the European Union. Recently, the Penrose method became revitalised, as it was proposed by Sweden in 2003 (negotiations on the Amsterdam Treaty) and Poland in 2007 (the June 2007 summit on the Treaty of Lisbon) as method of computing voting power of each state in the European Union. With modern computers, it is simple to calculate the threshold percentage which constitutes an optimal level of qualified "majority", at which the voting powers of all citizens in any member state are equal. The level of the optimal threshold, (about 61.6% for EU-27) decreases with the number of the member states. This system is referred to as the "Jagiellonian Compromise" [1] [2]. [edit] The UN proposal According to INFUSA, "The square-root method is more than a pragmatic compromise between the extreme methods of world representation unrelated to population size and allocation of national quotas in direct proportion to population size; Penrose showed that in terms of statistical theory the square-root method gives to each voter in the world an equal influence on decision-making in a world assembly".[citation needed] Under the Penrose method, the 14 most populous nations get fewer seats than they would under one man, one vote; the other nations get more seats. | Population as of 2005-12-15 | Percent of world population | Seats | Percent of total seats | | World | 6,434,577,575 | 100.00% | 721.32 | 100.00% | | Rank | Country | | | 1 | People's Republic of China | 1,306,313,812 | 20.30% | 36.14 | 5.01% | | 2 | India | 1,080,264,388 | 16.79% | 32.87 | 4.56% | | 3 | United States | 297,200,000 | 4.62% | 17.24 | 2.39% | | 4 | Indonesia | 241,973,879 | 3.76% | 15.56 | 2.16% | | 5 | Brazil | 186,112,794 | 2.89% | 13.64 | 1.89% | | 6 | Pakistan | 162,419,946 | 2.52% | 12.74 | 1.77% | | 7 | Bangladesh | 144,319,628 | 2.24% | 12.01 | 1.67% | | 8 | Russia | 143,420,309 | 2.23% | 11.98 | 1.66% | | 9 | Nigeria | 128,771,988 | 2.00% | 11.35 | 1.57% | | 10 | Japan | 127,417,244 | 1.98% | 11.29 | 1.56% | | 11 | Mexico | 106,202,903 | 1.65% | 10.31 | 1.43% | | 12 | Philippines | 87,857,473 | 1.37% | 9.37 | 1.30% | | 13 | Vietnam | 83,535,576 | 1.30% | 9.14 | 1.27% | | 14 | Germany | 82,468,000 | 1.28% | 9.08 | 1.26% | | 15 | Egypt | 77,505,756 | 1.20% | 8.80 | 1.22% | | 16 | Ethiopia | 73,053,286 | 1.14% | 8.55 | 1.18% | | 17 | Turkey | 69,660,559 | 1.08% | 8.35 | 1.16% | | 18 | Iran | 68,017,860 | 1.06% | 8.25 | 1.14% | | 19 | Thailand | 65,444,371 | 1.02% | 8.09 | 1.12% | | 20 | France | 60,656,178 | 0.94% | 7.79 | 1.08% | | 21 | United Kingdom | 60,441,457 | 0.94% | 7.77 | 1.08% | | 22 | Democratic Republic of the Congo | 60,085,804 | 0.93% | 7.75 | 1.07% | | 23 | Italy | 58,103,033 | 0.90% | 7.62 | 1.06% | | 24 | South Korea | 48,422,644 | 0.75% | 6.96 | 0.96% | | 25 | Ukraine | 47,425,336 | 0.74% | 6.89 | 0.95% | | 26 | South Africa | 44,344,136 | 0.69% | 6.66 | 0.92% | | 27 | Spain | 43,209,511 | 0.67% | 6.57 | 0.91% | | 28 | Colombia | 42,954,279 | 0.67% | 6.55 | 0.91% | | 29 | Myanmar | 42,909,464 | 0.67% | 6.55 | 0.91% | | 30 | Sudan | 40,187,486 | 0.62% | 6.34 | 0.88% | | 31 | Argentina | 39,537,943 | 0.61% | 6.29 | 0.87% | | 32 | Poland | 38,635,144 | 0.60% | 6.22 | 0.86% | | 33 | Tanzania | 36,766,356 | 0.57% | 6.06 | 0.84% | | 34 | Kenya | 33,829,590 | 0.53% | 5.82 | 0.81% | | 35 | Canada | 32,400,000 | 0.50% | 5.69 | 0.79% | | 36 | Morocco | 32,725,847 | 0.51% | 5.72 | 0.79% | | 37 | Algeria | 32,531,853 | 0.51% | 5.70 | 0.79% | | 38 | Afghanistan | 29,928,987 | 0.47% | 5.47 | 0.76% | | 39 | Peru | 27,925,628 | 0.43% | 5.28 | 0.73% | | 40 | Nepal | 27,676,547 | 0.43% | 5.26 | 0.73% | | 41 | Uganda | 27,269,482 | 0.42% | 5.22 | 0.72% | | 42 | Uzbekistan | 26,851,195 | 0.42% | 5.18 | 0.72% | | 43 | Saudi Arabia | 26,417,599 | 0.41% | 5.14 | 0.71% | | 44 | Malaysia | 26,207,102 | 0.41% | 5.12 | 0.71% | | 45 | Iraq | 26,074,906 | 0.41% | 5.11 | 0.71% | | 46 | Venezuela | 25,375,281 | 0.39% | 5.04 | 0.70% | | 47 | North Korea | 22,912,177 | 0.36% | 4.79 | 0.66% | | 48 | Republic of China | 22,894,384 | 0.36% | 4.78 | 0.66% | | 49 | Romania | 22,329,977 | 0.35% | 4.73 | 0.66% | | 50 | Ghana | 21,029,853 | 0.33% | 4.59 | 0.64% | | 51 | Yemen | 20,727,063 | 0.32% | 4.55 | 0.63% | | 52 | Australia | 20,229,800 | 0.31% | 4.50 | 0.62% | | 53 | Sri Lanka | 20,064,776 | 0.31% | 4.48 | 0.62% | | 54 | Mozambique | 19,406,703 | 0.30% | 4.41 | 0.61% | | 55 | Syria | 18,448,752 | 0.29% | 4.30 | 0.60% | | 56 | Madagascar | 18,040,341 | 0.28% | 4.25 | 0.59% | | 57 | Côte d'Ivoire | 17,298,040 | 0.27% | 4.16 | 0.58% | | 58 | Netherlands | 16,407,491 | 0.25% | 4.05 | 0.56% | | 59 | Cameroon | 16,380,005 | 0.25% | 4.05 | 0.56% | | 60 | Chile | 16,267,278 | 0.25% | 4.03 | 0.56% | | 61 | Kazakhstan | 15,185,844 | 0.24% | 3.90 | 0.54% | | 62 | Guatemala | 14,655,189 | 0.23% | 3.83 | 0.53% | | 63 | Burkina Faso | 13,925,313 | 0.22% | 3.73 | 0.52% | | 64 | Cambodia | 13,607,069 | 0.21% | 3.69 | 0.51% | | 65 | Ecuador | 13,363,593 | 0.21% | 3.66 | 0.51% | | 66 | Zimbabwe | 12,746,990 | 0.20% | 3.57 | 0.49% | | 67 | Mali | 12,291,529 | 0.19% | 3.51 | 0.49% | | 68 | Malawi | 12,158,924 | 0.19% | 3.49 | 0.48% | | 69 | Niger | 11,665,937 | 0.18% | 3.42 | 0.47% | | 70 | Cuba | 11,346,670 | 0.18% | 3.37 | 0.47% | | 71 | Zambia | 11,261,795 | 0.18% | 3.36 | 0.47% | | 72 | Angola | 11,190,786 | 0.17% | 3.35 | 0.46% | | 73 | Senegal | 11,126,832 | 0.17% | 3.34 | 0.46% | | 74 | Serbia and Montenegro | 10,829,175 | 0.17% | 3.29 | 0.46% | | 75 | Greece | 10,668,354 | 0.17% | 3.27 | 0.45% | | 76 | Portugal | 10,566,212 | 0.16% | 3.25 | 0.45% | | 77 | Belgium | 10,364,388 | 0.16% | 3.22 | 0.45% | | 78 | Belarus | 10,300,483 | 0.16% | 3.21 | 0.44% | | 79 | Czech Republic | 10,241,138 | 0.16% | 3.20 | 0.44% | | 80 | Hungary | 10,081,000 | 0.16% | 3.18 | 0.44% | | 81 | Tunisia | 10,074,951 | 0.16% | 3.17 | 0.44% | | 82 | Chad | 9,826,419 | 0.15% | 3.13 | 0.43% | | 83 | Guinea | 9,467,866 | 0.15% | 3.08 | 0.43% | | 84 | Sweden | 9,001,774 | 0.14% | 3.00 | 0.42% | | 85 | Dominican Republic | 8,950,034 | 0.14% | 2.99 | 0.41% | | 86 | Bolivia | 8,857,870 | 0.14% | 2.98 | 0.41% | | 87 | Somalia | 8,591,629 | 0.13% | 2.93 | 0.41% | | 88 | Rwanda | 8,440,820 | 0.13% | 2.91 | 0.40% | | 89 | Austria | 8,184,691 | 0.13% | 2.86 | 0.40% | | 90 | Haiti | 8,121,622 | 0.13% | 2.85 | 0.40% | | 91 | Azerbaijan | 7,911,974 | 0.12% | 2.81 | 0.39% | | 92 | Switzerland | 7,489,370 | 0.12% | 2.74 | 0.38% | | 93 | Benin | 7,460,025 | 0.12% | 2.73 | 0.38% | | 94 | Bulgaria | 7,450,349 | 0.12% | 2.73 | 0.38% | | 95 | Tajikistan | 7,163,506 | 0.11% | 2.68 | 0.37% | | 96 | Honduras | 6,975,204 | 0.11% | 2.64 | 0.37% | | 97 | Israel | 6,955,000 | 0.11% | 2.64 | 0.37% | | 98 | El Salvador | 6,704,932 | 0.10% | 2.59 | 0.36% | | 99 | Burundi | 6,370,609 | 0.10% | 2.52 | 0.35% | | 100 | Paraguay | 6,347,884 | 0.10% | 2.52 | 0.35% | | 101 | Laos | 6,217,141 | 0.10% | 2.49 | 0.35% | | 102 | Sierra Leone | 6,017,643 | 0.09% | 2.45 | 0.34% | | 103 | Libya | 5,765,563 | 0.09% | 2.40 | 0.33% | | 104 | Jordan | 5,759,732 | 0.09% | 2.40 | 0.33% | | 105 | Togo | 5,681,519 | 0.09% | 2.38 | 0.33% | | 106 | Papua New Guinea | 5,545,268 | 0.09% | 2.35 | 0.33% | | 107 | Nicaragua | 5,465,100 | 0.08% | 2.34 | 0.32% | | 108 | Denmark | 5,432,335 | 0.08% | 2.33 | 0.32% | | 109 | Slovakia | 5,431,363 | 0.08% | 2.33 | 0.32% | | 110 | Finland | 5,223,442 | 0.08% | 2.29 | 0.32% | | 111 | Kyrgyzstan | 5,146,281 | 0.08% | 2.27 | 0.31% | | 112 | Turkmenistan | 4,952,081 | 0.08% | 2.23 | 0.31% | | 113 | Georgia | 4,677,401 | 0.07% | 2.16 | 0.30% | | 114 | Norway | 4,593,041 | 0.07% | 2.14 | 0.30% | | 115 | Eritrea | 4,561,599 | 0.07% | 2.14 | 0.30% | | 116 | Croatia | 4,495,904 | 0.07% | 2.12 | 0.29% | | 117 | Moldova | 4,455,421 | 0.07% | 2.11 | 0.29% | | 118 | Singapore | 4,425,720 | 0.07% | 2.10 | 0.29% | | 119 | Ireland | 4,130,700 | 0.06% | 2.03 | 0.28% | | 120 | New Zealand | 4,098,200 | 0.06% | 2.02 | 0.28% | | 121 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4,025,476 | 0.06% | 2.01 | 0.28% | | 122 | Costa Rica | 4,016,173 | 0.06% | 2.00 | 0.28% | | 123 | Lebanon | 3,826,018 | 0.06% | 1.96 | 0.27% | | 124 | Central African Republic | 3,799,897 | 0.06% | 1.95 | 0.27% | | 125 | Lithuania | 3,596,617 | 0.06% | 1.90 | 0.26% | | 126 | Albania | 3,563,112 | 0.06% | 1.89 | 0.26% | | 127 | Liberia | 3,482,211 | 0.05% | 1.87 | 0.26% | | 128 | Uruguay | 3,415,920 | 0.05% | 1.85 | 0.26% | | 129 | Mauritania | 3,086,859 | 0.05% | 1.76 | 0.24% | | 130 | Panama | 3,039,150 | 0.05% | 1.74 | 0.24% | | 131 | Republic of the Congo | 3,039,126 | 0.05% | 1.74 | 0.24% | | 132 | Oman | 3,001,583 | 0.05% | 1.73 | 0.24% | | 133 | Armenia | 2,982,904 | 0.05% | 1.73 | 0.24% | | 134 | Mongolia | 2,791,272 | 0.04% | 1.67 | 0.23% | | 135 | Jamaica | 2,731,832 | 0.04% | 1.65 | 0.23% | | 136 | United Arab Emirates | 2,563,212 | 0.04% | 1.60 | 0.22% | | 137 | Kuwait | 2,335,648 | 0.04% | 1.53 | 0.21% | | 138 | Latvia | 2,290,237 | 0.04% | 1.51 | 0.21% | | 139 | Bhutan | 2,232,291 | 0.03% | 1.49 | 0.21% | | 140 | Macedonia | 2,045,262 | 0.03% | 1.43 | 0.20% | | 141 | Namibia | 2,030,692 | 0.03% | 1.43 | 0.20% | | 142 | Slovenia | 2,011,070 | 0.03% | 1.42 | 0.20% | | 143 | Lesotho | 1,867,035 | 0.03% | 1.37 | 0.19% | | 144 | Botswana | 1,640,115 | 0.03% | 1.28 | 0.18% | | 145 | The Gambia | 1,593,256 | 0.02% | 1.26 | 0.17% | | 146 | Guinea-Bissau | 1,416,027 | 0.02% | 1.19 | 0.16% | | 147 | Gabon | 1,389,201 | 0.02% | 1.18 | 0.16% | | 148 | Estonia | 1,332,893 | 0.02% | 1.15 | 0.16% | | 149 | Mauritius | 1,230,602 | 0.02% | 1.11 | 0.15% | | 150 | Swaziland | 1,173,900 | 0.02% | 1.08 | 0.15% | | 151 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1,088,644 | 0.02% | 1.04 | 0.14% | | 152 | East Timor | 1,040,880 | 0.02% | 1.02 | 0.14% | | 153 | Fiji | 893,354 | 0.01% | 0.95 | 0.13% | | 154 | Qatar | 863,051 | 0.01% | 0.93 | 0.13% | | 155 | Cyprus | 780,133 | 0.01% | 0.88 | 0.12% | | 156 | Guyana | 765,283 | 0.01% | 0.87 | 0.12% | | 157 | Bahrain | 688,345 | 0.01% | 0.83 | 0.12% | | 158 | Comoros | 671,247 | 0.01% | 0.82 | 0.11% | | 159 | Solomon Islands | 538,032 | 0.01% | 0.73 | 0.10% | | 160 | Equatorial Guinea | 535,881 | 0.01% | 0.73 | 0.10% | | 161 | Djibouti | 476,703 | 0.01% | 0.69 | 0.10% | | 162 | Luxembourg | 468,571 | 0.01% | 0.68 | 0.09% | | 163 | Suriname | 438,144 | 0.01% | 0.66 | 0.09% | | 164 | Cape Verde | 418,224 | 0.01% | 0.65 | 0.09% | | 165 | Malta | 398,534 | 0.01% | 0.63 | 0.09% | | 166 | Brunei | 372,361 | 0.01% | 0.61 | 0.08% | | 167 | Maldives | 349,106 | 0.01% | 0.59 | 0.08% | | 168 | The Bahamas | 301,790 | 0.005% | 0.55 | 0.08% | | 169 | Iceland | 296,737 | 0.005% | 0.54 | 0.08% | | 170 | Belize | 279,457 | 0.004% | 0.53 | 0.07% | | 171 | Barbados | 279,254 | 0.004% | 0.53 | 0.07% | | 172 | Vanuatu | 205,754 | 0.003% | 0.45 | 0.06% | | 173 | São Tomé and Príncipe | 187,410 | 0.003% | 0.43 | 0.06% | | 174 | Samoa | 177,287 | 0.003% | 0.42 | 0.06% | | 175 | Saint Lucia | 166,312 | 0.003% | 0.41 | 0.06% | | 176 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 117,534 | 0.002% | 0.34 | 0.05% | | 177 | Tonga | 112,422 | 0.002% | 0.34 | 0.05% | | 178 | Federated States of Micronesia | 108,105 | 0.002% | 0.33 | 0.05% | | 179 | Kiribati | 103,092 | 0.002% | 0.32 | 0.04% | | 180 | Grenada | 89,502 | 0.001% | 0.30 | 0.04% | | 181 | Seychelles | 81,188 | 0.001% | 0.28 | 0.04% | | 182 | Andorra | 70,549 | 0.001% | 0.27 | 0.04% | | 183 | Dominica | 69,029 | 0.001% | 0.26 | 0.04% | | 184 | Antigua and Barbuda | 68,722 | 0.001% | 0.26 | 0.04% | | 185 | Marshall Islands | 59,071 | 0.001% | 0.24 | 0.03% | | 186 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 38,958 | 0.001% | 0.20 | 0.03% | | 187 | Liechtenstein | 33,717 | 0.001% | 0.18 | 0.03% | | 188 | Monaco | 32,409 | 0.001% | 0.18 | 0.02% | | 189 | San Marino | 28,880 | 0.0004% | 0.17 | 0.02% | | 190 | Palau | 20,303 | 0.0003% | 0.14 | 0.02% | | 191 | Nauru | 13,048 | 0.0002% | 0.11 | 0.02% | | 192 | Tuvalu | 11,636 | 0.0002% | 0.11 | 0.01% | | 193 | Vatican City | 921 | 0.00001% | 0.03 | 0.004% | [edit] References - ^ http://th-www.if.uj.edu.pl/acta/vol37/pdf/v37p3133.pdf
- ^ Physics World 2006; 19(3):35-37.
[edit] See also - Penrose, L., The elementary statistics of majority voting, J. of the Royal Statistical Society, 109 (1946) 53-57.
- article by W. Kirsch at Center for European Policy Studies
- article by D. Leech and H. Aziz at University of Warwick
- many more references at the web page of American Mathematical Society here.
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