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2007 · members Republic of Ireland
Next Irish general election
165 of 166 seats in Dáil Éireann
No later than 14 July 2012
Brian Cowennoflag.jpg EndaKenny2007FineGael2.jpg Eamon Gilmore.jpg
Leader Brian Cowen Enda Kenny Eamon Gilmore
Party Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Party
Leader since 7 May 2008 2 June 2002 6 September 2007
Leader's seat Laois–Offaly Mayo Dún Laoghaire
Last election 77 seats, 41.6% 51 seats, 27.3% 20 seats, 10.1%
John Gormley election 2007 2.JPG Gerry Adams Easter Lily Badge.jpg Joehiggins.jpg
Leader John Gormley Gerry Adams Joe Higgins
Party Green Party Sinn Féin Socialist Party
Leader since 17 July 2007 1983 1996
Leader's seat Dublin South East Belfast West
(UK parliament)
/ Belfast West
(NI Assembly)
Dublin
(EU parliament)
Last election 6 seats, 4.7% 4 seats, 6.9% 0 seats, 0.6%

The next Irish general election must take place by 2012 at the latest. The election will be called following the dissolution of the 30th Dáil by the President, at the request of the Taoiseach. The electorate will elect the members of the 31st Dáil who will assemble shortly afterwards to elect a Taoiseach following agreement on the Government of the 31st Dáil.

Contents

[edit] Date

Current statute requires that the Dáil be dissolved within five years after its first meeting (14 June 2007) following the previous election and the election must take place not later than thirty days after the dissolution. The election, therefore, must take place no later than 14 July 2012.[1]

[edit] Electoral system

The system of voting will be Proportional Representation with a Single Transferable Vote, also known as PR-STV.[2] The general election will take place in 43 parliamentary constituencies throughout Ireland for 165 of the 166 Dáil Éireann seats (The Ceann Comhairle is automatically re-elected).[3]

[edit] Outgoing TDs

The following TDs have announced that they will not contest the next election:

Constituency Departing TD Party
Kerry South Jackie Healy-Rae[4] Independent
Dublin South Tom Kitt[5] Fianna Fáil

[edit] Opinion polls

The current government consists of Fianna Fáil and the Green Party, supported by several independents. Fine Gael, Labour, Sinn Féin and other independents provide the opposition.

Date Source Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Party Green Party Sinn Féin Independents/Others
24 May 2007 General election 41.56% 27.32% 10.13% 4.69% 6.94% 9.36% (PDs 2.73%)
30 March 2008 Sunday Business Post[6] 35% 30% 10% 8% 9% 8% (PDs 1%)
21 September 2008 Sunday Business Post[7] 36% 28% 9% 7% 9% 11% (PDs 3%)
26 October 2008 Sunday Business Post[8] 26% 33% 15% 6% 10% 10% (PDs 2%)
14 November 2008 Irish Times[9] 27% 34% 14% 4% 8% 13%
23 November 2008 Sunday Business Post

[10]

30% 35% 14% 5% 8% 8%
1 February 2009 Sunday Business Post[11] 28% 33% 14% 8% 9% 8%
13 February 2009 Irish Times[12] 22% 32% 24% 4% 9% 9%
27 February 2009 Irish Independent[13] 25% 30% 22% 5% 7% 10%
1 March 2009 Sunday Business Post[14] 23% 30% 22% 6% 11% 8%
29 March 2009 Sunday Business Post[15] 28% 31% 17% 7% 7% 10%
26 April 2009 Sunday Business Post[16] 23% 33% 19% 7% 8% 10%
15 May 2009 Irish Times[17] 21% 38% 20% 3% 9% 10%
17 May 2009 Sunday Business Post[18] 24% 34% 18% 5% 7% 12%
29 May 2009 Irish Times[19] 20% 36% 23% 3% 8% 10%
31 May 2009 Sunday Business Post[20] 21% 34% 18% 4% 10% 13%
5 June 2009 European election 24.12% 29.13% 13.91% 1.90% 11.21% 19.72%
5 June 2009 Local elections 25.4% 32.2% 14.7% 2.3% 7.4% 18.0%
3 September 2009 Irish Times[21] 17% 34% 24% 3% 10% 12%
26 September 2009 Irish Times[22] 20% 31% 25% 4% 9% 11%
25 October 2009 Sunday Business Post[23] 25% 35% 19% 3% 9% 9%
22 November 2009 Sunday Business Post[24] 23% 36% 17% 5% 10% 9%

[edit] References

  1. ^ Article 16.5 of the Constitution of Ireland states that the Dáil may sit for a period of up to seven years from its first meeting. It also allows a shorter period to be fixed by law, this is currently five years.
  2. ^ "Proportional Representation – Information". Irish Citizens Information Board. http://www.citizensinformation.ie/categories/government-in-ireland/elections-and-referenda/voting/proportional_representation. Retrieved 26 October 2008. 
  3. ^ Article 16.6 of the constitution requires that "provision shall be made by law" such that the Ceann Comhairle "be deemed without any actual election to be elected a member of Dáil Éireann". The current law making such provision is the Electoral Act, 1992.
  4. ^ "Healy-Rae to retire at next general election". Irish Independent. 26 June 2008. http://www.independent.ie/breaking-news/national-news/healyrae-to-retire-at-next-general-election-1421319.html. Retrieved 29 June 2008. 
  5. ^ "FF's Kitt to step down at next election". RTÉ News. 2008-05-08. http://www.rte.ie/news/2008/0508/fiannafail.html. Retrieved 7 April 2009. 
  6. ^ RTÉ News (29/03/08) - New poll shows drop in support for FF
  7. ^ RTÉ News (20/09/08) - Poll shows fall in support for Fianna Fáil
  8. ^ RTÉ News (26/10/08) - Fianna Fáil down 10% in poll
  9. ^ RTÉ News (13/11/08) - Massive drop in support for Fianna Fáil
  10. ^ RTÉ News (22/11/08) - Poll shows recovery for Fianna Fáil
  11. ^ RTÉ News (31/01/09) - Fall in support for two main parties - poll
  12. ^ RTÉ News (12/02/09) - Labour surge past FF in latest poll
  13. ^ RTÉ News (26/02/09) - 10% satisfied with Govt performance
  14. ^ RTÉ News (28/02/09) - FF falls to lowest ever rating - poll
  15. ^ RTÉ News (28/03/09) - Poll shows increase for Fianna Fáil
  16. ^ RTÉ News (25/04/09) - Poll shows drop in support for FF
  17. ^ RTÉ News (14/05/09) - Polls shows Fine Gael popularity surge
  18. ^ RTÉ News (16/05/09) - Poll shows drop in support for Green Party
  19. ^ RTÉ News (28/05/09) - Poll shows rise in support for Labour
  20. ^ RTÉ News (30/05/09) - Further drop in support for FF
  21. ^ RTÉ News (02/09/09) - Satisfaction with Taoiseach falls to 15%
  22. ^ RTÉ News (25/09/09) - Support for Govt, Cowen & FF rise - poll
  23. ^ RTÉ News (24/10/09) - FG retains lead in polls
  24. ^ [http://www.rte.ie/news/2009/1121/poll.html RTÉ News (21/11/09) - Support for Fine Gael at highest level - poll



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