Earth 2100
Title card
Approx. run time	120 minutes
Genre	Documentary film
Written by	Josh Neufeld Abigail Thomas
Directed by	Rudy Bednar
Produced by	Michael Bicks Linda Hirsch Ralph Avellino
Starring	Bob Woodruff Jared Diamond Thomas Homer-Dixon Peter Gleick Terry Root
Editing by	Ralph Avelino Geoff Gruetzmacher Bria Lough
Country	United States
Language	English
Original channel	ABC
Release date	June 2, 2009 (2009-06-02)

Earth 2100 (spelled as earth2100) is a television program that was presented by the American Broadcasting Company (ABC) network on June 2, 2009. Hosted by ABC journalist Bob Woodruff, the two-hour special explored what a worst-case future might look like if humans do not take action on current or impending problems that could threaten civilization. The problems addressed in the program include climate change, overpopulation, and misuse of energy resources.^[1][2]

The events parallel the life of a fictitious storyteller, "Lucy" (told through the use of motion comics, or limited animation), as she describes how the events affect her life. The program included predictions of a dystopian Earth in the years 2015, 2030, 2050, 2085, and 2100 by scientists, historians, social anthropologists, and economists, including Jared Diamond, Thomas Homer-Dixon, Peter Gleick, James Howard Kunstler, Heidi Cullen, and Joseph Tainter.^[1]

According to Executive Producer Michael Bicks, "this program was developed to show the worst-case scenario for human civilization. Again, we are not saying that these events will happen — rather, that if we fail to seriously address the complex problems of climate change, resource depletion and overpopulation, they are much more likely to happen."^[3]

[edit] Plot

Lucy is born June 2, 2009, in Miami and is still alive in the year 2100. After a powerful hurricane hits Miami when she is a child, she and her parents move to San Diego. She becomes an EMT and meets her husband, Josh, an engineer, during a protest against high water prices of California desalinated seawater (Las Vegas had run dry). A few years later, they and their young daughter Molly move to New York City by car, passing desperate Texans begging for rides north. One pulls a gun on Molly, but fortunately, others in the car/truck convoy point automatic weapons on the desperate man, who backs down. While the others in the convoy make it to Canada, New York City is a marvel of clean power, clean transit, and community gardening. Josh sets to work building a flood barrier to hold back the ocean, but the CO₂ warming unleashes trapped methane in the Arctic, which causes even faster, non-linear warming. An effort to use sulfur dioxide as a last resort to cool the planet is called off when it is found to destroy the ozone layer. Lucy finds and helps quarantine and neutralize a strange new disease, and Molly moves upstate to an agricultural community. During a storm at high tide, Josh is killed trying to fix a stuck gate, and New York City is flooded. Lucy refuses Molly's offer to live with her, her husband and son. Starving people among the rotting flood damage set the stage for the return of the disease Lucy saw, now called "Caspian Fever." Caspian Fever kills so many people on Earth that population growth starts shrinking, and eventually it dawns on Lucy and every American that there is no Federal response, no National Guard, no soldiers to keep order. Democracy and civilization at the national level have died in America. Lucy leaves the city with some friends and a dog, and eventually finds her daughter, now a widow like herself, and her grandson. Initially there is no communication with the world, until someone set up a two-way radio. In 2100, Lucy ponders what wisdom to pass along to her grandson, now denied the education she took for granted, as she is the oldest person in the world.

[edit] Motion comic

Lucy's story was created with a limited animation technique using the talents of comic book creators, including Josh Neufeld, Sari Wilson, Joe Infurnari, George O'Connor, Tim Hamilton, and Leland Purvis.^[4] Their story was brought to "life" by the visual effects company Guerilla FX and lead animator John Bair.^[5]

[edit] Development

According to early ABC press releases, Earth 2100 was meant to be an "unprecedented television and Internet event."^[6] The initial phase of the project was an online "crowdsourcing" project where viewers were encouraged to submit homemade videos imagining life in 2015, 2050, and 2100 in locations in Africa, Australia, United States, Europe, India, South America, and China.^[7] During the summer and fall of 2008, users began to post their submissions on the Earth 2100 website, and these videos were cobbled together into a Web-based narrative showing the worldwide consequences of population growth, resource depletion, and climate change.

Multiple delays changed the scope of the project. Originally, Earth 2100 was set to air in September 2008. Then, partly due to personal reasons on the part of producer Michael Bicks,^[6] the program was rescheduled for Spring 2009. The final product was innovative in its use of the "motion comics" element and the "Lucy" story, but used very little user-generated footage.

The Earth 2100 website, however, does feature selections of user-created videos representing the crisis points of 2015, 2050, and 2100.

[edit] Reception

The Earth 2100 premiere garnered an audience of nearly 3.7 million viewers, according to Nielsen Media Research.^[6]

Response to the broadcast was mostly confined to online comment boards, which soon buzzed with debates about the validity of Earth 2100's predictions, and the show's overall effectiveness. Many commenters were annoyed by the show's apocalyptic tone, accusing ABC of fear-mongering. Thomas Fuller, writing for Examiner.com, accused ABC of portraying "science fiction" as fact, and claimed that:

. . . when people realize (as they are realizing now) that temperatures are not going to climb every year, they are not going to remember what sober scientists say. They are going to think of Earth 2100 and other scare stories about catastrophe, and realize that they were lies. They will then completely tune out science and it will be impossible to even do the sensible things we can and should do.^[8]

ABC made sure, however, to post annotated transcripts on the Earth 2100 website, outlining the scientific sources for the program's various predictions, scenarios, and statements.

Conversely, many commenters found the Lucy/motion comic storyline a very effective way of depicting the various predictions. Posts also congratulated ABC for devoting a two-hour, prime-time spot to the issue, and asked when the program would be re-aired, made available on DVD, or posted online.^[6]

[edit] See also

• Ecological economics
• Global warming
• Malthusian catastrophe
• Peak oil, Peak gas, Peak uranium
• Societal collapse
• Survivalism
• Water crisis

[edit] References

[edit] External links

• Official website
• Earth 2100 at the Internet Movie Database